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Showing posts with the label PCE Report

Market Reversal: Why Stocks Shook Off Hot GDP to End Higher (Sept 26, 2025)

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Author: CORNYVERSE Last updated: September 27, 2025 | Reading time: 8 minutes Quick Navigation 1. A Tale of Two Tapes: GDP Fear, Inflation Relief 2. South Korea's Timing Trouble: Caught in the Downturn 3. Commodities Tell a Different Story 4. Outlook: A Sigh of Relief or a Temporary Reprieve? Friday's trading session was a masterclass in market volatility, leaving many investors with whiplash. The day began with a sell-off, as a red-hot U.S. GDP report seemed to slam the door shut on near-term rate cuts. But in a stunning turnaround, a subsequent inflation report completely flipped the script, sending stocks soaring to snap a three-day losing streak. Let's break down this dramatic reversal.   Key Takeaways Dramatic U-Turn on Wall Street: After initially falling on a strong 3.8% G...

US PCE Report August 2025: Inflation Cools, Spending Soars

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Author: Cornyverse Last updated: September 26, 2025 | Reading time: 7 minutes 📑 Quick Navigation 1. August PCE Inflation Meets Expectations 2. Key Data Deep Dive: What the Numbers Mean 3. Strong Spending: A Sign of a Soft Landing? 4. The Fed's Next Move: What to Expect 5. Takeaways for Global Investors In September 2025, investors worldwide turned their attention to the U.S. August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index. As the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation, this report is a critical clue for the future direction of interest rate policy. The headline takeaway? Inflation is behaving as expected, but consumer spending is stronger than anticipated. This mixed signal complicates the Fed's calculus and sends a nuanced message to the markets. In this post, we'll break down the details of the August PCE report and analyze what it means for global investors, especially those monitoring ...

Market Warning Shot (09/25/2025): Why Strong Economic Data is Sinking Stocks

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Author: CORNYVERSE Last updated: September 26, 2025 | Reading time: 9 minutes Quick Navigation 1. An Economy "Too Strong": A Blessing or a Curse? 2. The Revenge of the Dollar and Yields 3. The Night Before PCE: All Eyes on Inflation 4. The Global Market Ripple Effect On September 25, 2025, the market vividly proved the old adage that "good news is bad news." The U.S. economy flexed its muscles with an upward revision of Q2 GDP growth to 3.8% and lower-than-expected weekly jobless claims. Yet, instead of cheering, investors dumped stocks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell, while the VIX "fear gauge" climbed above 17, signaling rising anxiety. This article dives deep into why this powerful economic data became toxic for the market, and how a surging dollar, rising yields, and the looming PCE inflation report have combined to force investors into a defensive crouch. Key Takeaways Paradox of ...